Repercussions on Monaco’s Economy
Despite the challenges, Monaco remains optimistic about its growth. In the short term, the budgetary impact would be limited, but certain sectors could be more affected: Financial Sector: Monégasque financial institutions might face increased scrutiny and higher compliance costs. This could affect their short-term competitiveness. Real Estate: The real estate sector seems to maintain its robustness. The attractiveness of the local real estate market, characterized by the rarity and luxury of properties, continues to draw wealthy investors. In this complex regulatory context, Miells-Christie’s expertise will be essential in guiding wealthy investors towards investment opportunities in the principality. Foreign Investments: While some investors might be more cautious, the overall impact will depend on how quickly Monaco can implement the necessary reforms and reassure stakeholders.
In the short term, the grey listing could influence international perceptions of Monaco, prompting some investors to reconsider their commitments. However, a study conducted by the Center for Global Development in 2016 offers a different perspective. Even though being included on the FATF grey list may lead to a reduction of up to 10% in the volume of payments received by a country, the study indicates that this list does not tend to isolate these nations from the international financial system.
This argument is also supported by the finance and economy minister advisor Pierre-André Chiappori: “As an economist, I believe that being placed on the grey list, in the short term, will not have direct consequences on growth, especially for a state that does not borrow. Monaco has negative debt and a constitutional reserve fund. If we were to remain for five years, the impact would be possible, but not over a period of a year and a half,” he explained during a press conference in early July 2024.
In the long term, these reforms could improve the transparency and attractiveness of the Monégasque market.